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Bitcoin mining profitability: a year long experiment

Bitcoin Mining's Profits in Question | Users Share Struggles

By

Tomoko Yamada

May 20, 2025, 12:28 AM

Edited By

Lucas Nguyen

3 minutes needed to read

Multiple Antminer S19K Pro machines operating in an Ethiopian setting for Bitcoin mining

A growing number of people in the crypto community are questioning the profitability of Bitcoin mining amid challenging conditions. This scrutiny comes after one person shared their year-long experience in Ethiopia, revealing unexpected costs and disappointing returns.

Context of Mining Ventures

The case centers around a user who has been mining Bitcoin for one year using two Antminer S19K Pro units with a total hash rate of 120 TH/s. The experiment took place at a hosting company in Ethiopia. This individual reported that the equipment failed for about five weeks, leading to repair costs of €250. Despite this setback, the yearly earnings barely covered the initial investment.

"Given the high costs and frequent repairs, isn't it a zero-sum game?" the miner questioned.

Many people echoed concerns that investing in mining through hosting companies yields little benefit compared to a direct investment in Bitcoin.

Key Issues Arise

  1. Cost Inefficiencies: The miner pointed out that hosting companies might sell electricity at a markup of €0.06/kWh while acquiring it for €0.03/kWh. This practice raises concerns about overall profitability.

  2. Equipment Reliability: Multiple comments noted the high failure rates of mining equipment, pushing people to ask if the investment model is sustainable.

  3. Direct Investment Advantage: Some people argued that direct investments in Bitcoin could outperform mining returns. One analysis indicated that a yearly profit of 50% would be necessary to outstrip the potential gains from simply buying Bitcoin.

"It appears a direct investment would have always been more profitable, especially during mining highs," stated another responder.

Sentiment Patterns

The sentiment across various user boards reflects a largely negative view about the current state of profitability in mining setups. Many feel stuck in a cycle of expenses and modest returns.

Key Insights

  • πŸ“‰ 22% yield reported after one year, primarily due to repair costs.

  • ⚑ Hosting companies charge significant premiums on electricity rates.

  • πŸ’° "Direct investment would always be better," argued many commentators.

Questions loom about the future of Bitcoin mining. Can miners find a way out of this unfavorable financial situation, or are they destined to face continued losses? As the industry evolves, insights like these remain vital for decision-making in the crypto sphere.

Future Landscape of Mining Profitability

There’s a strong chance that Bitcoin mining profitability will continue to dwindle if current trends persist. Experts estimate around 60% of miners could exit the market within the next two years if costs remain high and profitability doesn’t improve. The combination of repair costs, high energy prices from hosting firms, and diminishing returns will likely push more miners to reassess their strategies. Many will consider switching to direct investments in Bitcoin, as they may prove to be a safer bet in a volatile market. As technologies advance and competition stiffens, only the most efficient operations that innovate with energy consumption may thrive, reshaping the crypto landscape altogether.

Reflecting on the Dot-Com Bubble

A striking parallel can be drawn between today’s mining frustrations and the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s. Just as many entrepreneurs invested heavily in internet startups without understanding the underlying economics, Bitcoin miners today are grappling with inflated expectations versus reality. Back then, a number of companies folded under the weight of unsustainable costs and vague business models. Similarly, the current wave of Bitcoin miners might face reckoning as they confront harsh financial truths. It reminds us that in the race for innovation, discernment and economic viability must go hand in hand, lest history repeats itself.